Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.222906 0.258861 0.298789 0.346427 0.401738 0.463959 0.539308
2025-05-25 0.159362 0.205146 0.261437 0.335784 0.431508 0.550774 0.710949
2025-06-01 0.132507 0.183122 0.249875 0.344456 0.475262 0.650185 0.902599
2025-06-08 0.112060 0.164074 0.236699 0.345665 0.505427 0.731776 1.078169
2025-06-15 0.098343 0.151364 0.229143 0.351780 0.540915 0.822654 1.276396
2025-06-22 0.084338 0.135711 0.214461 0.344244 0.553646 0.879846 1.429731
2025-06-29 0.074080 0.124142 0.204022 0.341099 0.571589 0.945636 1.603094
2025-07-06 0.066657 0.115980 0.197661 0.343183 0.597425 1.025992 1.809119
2025-07-13 0.062894 0.113368 0.199925 0.359673 0.649014 1.154512 2.112679
2025-07-20 0.058838 0.109640 0.199670 0.371439 0.693301 1.274901 2.416080
2025-07-27 0.055134 0.106024 0.199065 0.382263 0.736784 1.398243 2.739457
2025-08-03 0.050856 0.100765 0.194751 0.385435 0.765928 1.497793 3.028896
2025-08-10 0.046100 0.094104 0.187211 0.381842 0.782280 1.576295 3.290165
2025-08-17 0.040999 0.086144 0.176243 0.370129 0.781055 1.620279 3.487587
2025-08-24 0.038679 0.083583 0.175730 0.379696 0.824666 1.759930 3.903460
2025-08-31 0.035819 0.079516 0.171603 0.381031 0.850765 1.865709 4.258951
2025-09-07 0.033727 0.076845 0.170088 0.387777 0.889335 2.002419 4.700472
2025-09-14 0.030635 0.071563 0.162281 0.379463 0.892909 2.061978 4.971741
2025-09-21 0.028232 0.067570 0.156883 0.375993 0.907161 2.147185 5.314238
2025-09-28 0.026464 0.064856 0.154087 0.378292 0.935298 2.267794 5.758016
2025-10-05 0.025866 0.064887 0.157704 0.396485 1.004240 2.493648 6.493447
2025-10-12 0.024962 0.064054 0.159152 0.409467 1.061739 2.698162 7.200700
2025-10-19 0.024046 0.063082 0.160146 0.421408 1.118013 2.906120 7.944009